Best Chance to Win Yet Losing?

t1riel

t1riel

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I find it interesting how you could have the highest percentage to win after the flop yet you are behing currently. Let me give you an example:

You and Player A are the only players who are in the pot. The blinds are 400/800. You just raised to 1600 since you're in the Big Blind. Player A called. You are holding: :kd4: :qd4: . The flop comes:

:jc4: :7d4: :8d4: . Player A bets 1000 in chips and you have 2500 left so you push all in. Player A has 5000 left so he calls. Player A has :jh4: :10c4: . Right now, you are behind since you only have King High and Player A has a pair. Yet, you have a 52.32% chance of winning this hand. Now, looking at the percentage, it was a good push. I just find it a little illogical that you have the highest percentage to win yet you are behind in the hand. Just a thought.
 
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Mad_Mike989

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Thay is rather peculier. Its my thought and I may be stating the obvious that you have two overcards to the board and the nut flush draw and possibly the runner runner straight factoe comes in there.
 
joosebuck

joosebuck

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mainly because holdem is a 7 card game and not a 5 card game. those other 2 cards to come have a greater chance to give you the best ending hand than him. pretty simple stuff. you should put in some omaha hands and see when like trips are behind to a draw.
 
joosebuck

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35%~ for the flush, 16%~ for the over cards hitting, and two more runner runner instances to give you the straight for about another 3%~
 
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