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$2 NLHE 6-max: Should you ever fold here?
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[QUOTE="AlexTheOwl, post: 3908721, member: 269625"] Even with the stats being wrong, this is a great point. If villain has an A or a pocket pair, you expect him to raise pre-flop. Villain calls your flop bet, probably without an A. Your flop bet doesn't mean much to the villain, since it might be a c-bet that you would make with any hand. But he probably doesn't call unless he thinks he has some reasonable chance at winning. So what is his plan? - Maybe he's just planning to float you. - Maybe he was trying to trap you pre-flop by calling with a pocket pair. He has a pocket pair or a set. - Maybe he has a 7 or a 3, and he knows that heads-up, any pair on the flop is usually ahead. If any of these is the case, he's testing whether you really have an Ace. If you don't bet the turn, he will bet. If you bet the turn, he will fold. - Maybe he does have an A after all. Now the turn comes, and you bet. It certainly looks like you have an A, a set, or two pair. But he calls. What does he call with? - An A. This is somewhat unlikely, since, again, we would have expected him to raise pre-flop. Also, you have an A and there is an A on the board, so there are only two other Aces in the deck. - A set. Again, this is somewhat unlikely since we would have expected a raise pre-flop. - A 7. He has trips now. He could three-bet you here, but if he does you might fold. If he just calls then you might bet the river too, and he can three-bet you then. - This is the micros, so he could also have something like QJ or 88 and be pushing buttons for no discernable reason. That's unlikely too, but it happens. So he could have an A, a set, some trash, or a 7 on the turn. But an A or a set are unlikely due to blockers and the pre-flop action, and the trash is unlikely due to the turn action. Sounds a lot like a 7. On the river there are two possibilities: - One of three unlikely things happened: he got here through having an A, a set, or an inability to find the fold button, AND he then decided to bluff. - He has a 7. It's a really hard decision. I call, but I am not happy about it. [/QUOTE]
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$2 NLHE 6-max: Should you ever fold here?
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