$10 NL HE 6-max: Nut flush facing shove on paired board, 150BB deep

V

VrakasYi

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Mar 11, 2025
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14
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pokerstars, Hold'em No Limit - $0.05/$0.10 - 6 players
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habib599 (UTG): $11.17 (112 bb)
brightsunfun (MP): $15.23 (152 bb)
Pudelacu (CO): $10.57 (106 bb)
cappybmse (BU): $30.08 (301 bb)
_PJB_ (SB): $9.90 (99 bb)
JonathanPla (BB): $27.84 (278 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.15) Hero (JonathanPla) is BB with A♣ Q♣
1 fold, brightsunfun (MP) calls $0.10, 3 players fold, JonathanPla (BB) raises to $0.50, brightsunfun (MP) calls $0.40

Flop: ($1.05) 7♣ 3♦ 8♣ (2 players)
JonathanPla (BB) bets $0.30, brightsunfun (MP) calls $0.30

Turn: ($1.65) 3♣ (2 players)
JonathanPla (BB) bets $0.89, brightsunfun (MP) raises to $4.24, JonathanPla (BB) calls $3.35

River: ($10.13) 2♥ (2 players)
JonathanPla (BB) checks, brightsunfun (MP) bets $10.19 (all-in), JonathanPla (BB) folds

Total pot: $10.13 (Rake: $0.64)
brightsunfun (MP) wins $9.49
 
G

gustav197poker

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Played correctly, IMO. With an effective stack of 152 bb and against a tight limper, I would have played it the same. I think a villain who plays 14% of hands isn't that likely to raise 4.7x OTT and then jam OTR with bluff. I think a tight could do it sometime with Kx (with the Kc), but that would be the best-case scenario.
 
Fuchun

Fuchun

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I think I should follow suit because you only lose to Cuckoo and he gets such an edge in the MP position? It is also possible that this is a reason why I, as a novice, do not think so much is worth discussing!
 
blueskies

blueskies

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Sucks to have to do it, but if your read matches with the HUD stats, then it's a fold.
The thing that does smell suspicious to me is the slightly large c/r on the turn. I would be curious did he insta raise or did he take a long time? (I am thinking if he took a long time, he might be calculating what size to raise turn to set up a reasonable size river shove)

Could he have made a smaller flush (e.g. TcJc or 9cTc) and is protecting? Or does he have 77/88 and is hoping you have Ac and will continue or better yet, what you actually have?

Seems unlikely to be a bluff. You can only hope that he has club connectors, but a FH probably more likely.

On a side note... being OOP sucks.
 
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